Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 34.573184 41.010025 48.104111 56.474131 66.049581 76.631397 89.178397
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 25.812628 34.490511 45.012583 58.582591 75.478973 95.674724 121.474561
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.169960 29.629629 41.988758 59.043783 81.652679 110.249690 148.754341
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.657304 25.039868 38.133806 57.289641 84.063843 119.554627 169.432065
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.949157 22.324476 36.183006 57.495945 88.639085 131.551186 193.998999
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.056868 20.417906 34.993441 58.425655 94.021745 144.734377 220.759829
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.511070 16.961162 30.888838 54.374684 91.552348 146.400944 231.194929
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.530072 15.955988 30.487222 55.924667 97.493126 160.476315 260.135591
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.371069 14.403928 28.928134 55.351333 99.950047 169.361828 281.769807
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.019044 14.315217 29.874506 59.025749 109.446229 189.510770 321.423979
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.817247 12.293365 27.038468 55.790009 107.178082 190.989191 332.254276
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.348170 11.719648 26.830526 57.199495 112.827839 205.370485 363.988397
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.957784 11.335378 27.114439 59.884956 121.519049 226.244006 408.959686
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.558897 10.864510 27.193725 62.268388 130.028383 247.638583 456.512620
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.064083 10.034028 26.377024 62.771730 135.109080 263.504703 495.802005
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.489590 8.833550 24.533277 60.925566 135.550079 271.267046 521.776213
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.138063 8.146536 23.735363 61.143120 139.919558 286.166210 560.690340
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.879215 7.657285 23.321312 62.122628 145.834297 304.152988 605.851442
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.423359 6.390863 20.726109 57.853839 140.687045 301.390321 614.000973
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.280633 6.127332 20.689166 59.487450 147.893006 322.156778 665.498355
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.078295 5.577217 19.769087 58.883225 150.261732 333.784938 700.804240
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.041916 5.652201 20.630080 62.754790 162.635653 365.459575 774.646841
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.806426 4.828005 18.701755 59.345542 158.608775 364.636930 787.539227